NBAComputerPicksNBA Computer Picks: Best Bets for November 6, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Our simulation re-priced the slate for Friday, November 6, 2026. The strongest disagreements with the market are below.
1. Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets — CHA +8.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 8.5 on CHA, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is CHA +8.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 225.0 points against the posted 210.5. That points to the Over 210.5, with about 14.5 points of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BOS 116 – CHA 109 · full preview →
2. Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers — CLE +2.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 2.5 on CLE, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is CLE +2.5, an edge of about 6.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 223.5 points while the book has hung 228.5. That points to the Under 228.5, with about 5.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PHI 110 – CLE 114 · full preview →
3. Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks — MIL +6.5 Strong
The market opened at 6.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is MIL +6.5, an edge of about 13.0 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 225.0 points while the book has hung 230.5. That points to the Under 230.5, with about 5.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected TOR 109 – MIL 116 · full preview →
4. Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans — NOP +4.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 4.5 on NOP, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is NOP +4.5, an edge of about 4.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 223.5 points against the posted 229.5. That points to the Under 229.5, with about 6.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIN 112 – NOP 112 · full preview →
5. Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers — LAL -2.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -2.5 on LAL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is LAL -2.5, an edge of about 5.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 225.5 points against the posted 232.5. That points to the Under 232.5, with about 7.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected POR 109 – LAL 117 · full preview →