Sat, Nov 7 · 12:40 AM ET

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers: prediction & pick

Cleveland Cavaliers host Philadelphia 76ers in a matchup where the model sides with Cleveland Cavaliers. Our projection has CLE favored by roughly 4.0 points, a win probability near 61%, and a projected final of PHI 110 – CLE 114.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at -1.5 on CLE, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is CLE -1.5, an edge of about 2.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 223.5 points while the book has hung 234.5. That points to the Under 234.5, with about 11.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of PHI 110 – CLE 114, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.