Model performance, in depth

Analytics

A live breakdown of where the model earns its edge — by market and by season. Every number here is computed from graded picks. Updated October 30, 2026.

Performance by market

MarketRecord (W–L–P)Win %ROIUnits
Against the spread19–17–052.8%+0.8%+0.3
Totals (O/U)21–15–058.3%+11.4%+4.1
All markets40–32–055.6%+6.1%+4.4

By season

SeasonWin %Net unitsRecord
202655.6%+4.440–32–0
Note: figures update automatically as games are graded. Units assume 1 unit risked per play at -110; win rate excludes pushes.