Sat, Nov 7 · 12:10 AM ET

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets: prediction & pick

Charlotte Hornets host Boston Celtics in a matchup where the model sides with Boston Celtics. Our projection has BOS favored by roughly 7.0 points, a win probability near 68%, and a projected final of BOS 116 – CHA 109.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at 8.5 on CHA, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is CHA +8.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 225.0 points against the posted 210.5. That points to the Over 210.5, with about 14.5 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of BOS 116 – CHA 109, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.