Thu, Oct 22 · 12:10 AM ET

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies: prediction & pick

Memphis Grizzlies host Utah Jazz in a matchup where the model sides with Memphis Grizzlies. Our projection has MEM favored by roughly 7.0 points, a win probability near 68%, and a projected final of UTA 111 – MEM 118.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at 2.5 on MEM, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MEM +2.5, an edge of about 9.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 228.0 combined points versus a market number of 241.5. That points to the Under 241.5, with about 13.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of UTA 111 – MEM 118, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.