Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies: prediction & pick
Memphis Grizzlies host Utah Jazz in a matchup where the model sides with Memphis Grizzlies. Our projection has MEM favored by roughly 7.0 points, a win probability near 68%, and a projected final of UTA 111 – MEM 118.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at 2.5 on MEM, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MEM +2.5, an edge of about 9.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 228.0 combined points versus a market number of 241.5. That points to the Under 241.5, with about 13.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of UTA 111 – MEM 118, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.