Fri, Oct 30 · 12:10 AM ET

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans: prediction & pick

When Sacramento Kings and New Orleans Pelicans meet, our simulation gives the edge to New Orleans Pelicans. Our projection has NOP favored by roughly 2.5 points, a win probability near 57%, and a projected final of SAC 113 – NOP 115.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -5.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is SAC +5.5, an edge of about 3.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 227.5 combined points versus a market number of 237.5. That points to the Under 237.5, with about 10.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of SAC 113 – NOP 115, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.