New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers: prediction & pick

Philadelphia 76ers host New York Knicks in a matchup where the model sides with Philadelphia 76ers. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of NYK 111 – PHI 112.

Against the spread

The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is NYK +1.5, an edge of about 0.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 223.5 combined points versus a market number of 231.5. That points to the Under 231.5, with about 8.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of NYK 111 – PHI 112, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.