Sat, Nov 14 · 12:10 AM ET

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers and it likes Indiana Pacers. Our projection has IND favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of NYK 114 – IND 115.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 2.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is IND +2.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 228.0 points while the book has hung 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 5.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of NYK 114 – IND 115, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 83% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.