Fri, Oct 23 · 11:10 PM ET

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on New York Knicks at Boston Celtics and it likes Boston Celtics. Our projection has BOS favored by roughly 4.5 points, a win probability near 62%, and a projected final of NYK 110 – BOS 114.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -2.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BOS -2.5, an edge of about 2.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 224.0 points against the posted 223.5. That points to the Over 223.5, with about 0.5 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of NYK 110 – BOS 114, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 62% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.