Tue, Oct 27 · 1:10 AM ET

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz: prediction & pick

Memphis Grizzlies visit Utah Jazz with the model leaning toward Memphis Grizzlies. Our projection has MEM favored by roughly 2.0 points, a win probability near 55%, and a projected final of MEM 115 – UTA 113.

Against the spread

The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is MEM +1.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 228.0 points against the posted 238.5. That points to the Under 238.5, with about 10.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MEM 115 – UTA 113, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.