Sat, Oct 24 · 1:40 AM ET

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs: prediction & pick

When Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs meet, our simulation gives the edge to San Antonio Spurs. Our projection has SAS favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 51%, and a projected final of HOU 112 – SAS 113.

Against the spread

The market opened at -6.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is HOU +6.5, an edge of about 6.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 224.5 points against the posted 225.5. That points to the Under 225.5, with about 1.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of HOU 112 – SAS 113, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.