NBAComputerPicksDenver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns: prediction & pick
When Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns meet, our simulation gives the edge to Denver Nuggets. Our projection has DEN favored by roughly 1.5 points, a win probability near 54%, and a projected final of DEN 114 – PHX 113.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at 2.5 on PHX, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHX +2.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 227.0 points against the posted 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 6.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DEN 114 – PHX 113, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.