Sat, Nov 7 · 10:10 PM ET

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers: prediction & pick

Denver Nuggets visit Indiana Pacers with the model leaning toward Indiana Pacers. Our projection has IND favored by roughly 0.0 points, a win probability near 50%, and a projected final of DEN 115 – IND 115.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 6.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is IND +6.5, an edge of about 6.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 230.0 points against the posted 229.5. That points to the Over 229.5, with about 0.5 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DEN 115 – IND 115, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.