Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers: prediction & pick

When Cleveland Cavaliers and Philadelphia 76ers meet, our simulation gives the edge to Philadelphia 76ers. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of CLE 111 – PHI 112.

Against the spread

The market opened at -4.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CLE +4.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 223.5 points while the book has hung 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 10.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of CLE 111 – PHI 112, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 85% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.