Wed, Nov 25 · 1:10 AM ET

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards: prediction & pick

Washington Wizards host Boston Celtics in a matchup where the model sides with Boston Celtics. Our projection has BOS favored by roughly 8.0 points, a win probability near 71%, and a projected final of BOS 117 – WAS 109.

Against the spread

Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 5.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BOS -5.5, an edge of about 2.5 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 226.0 points against the posted 230.5. That points to the Under 230.5, with about 4.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of BOS 117 – WAS 109, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 77% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.