NBAComputerPicksNBA Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 13, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Today's top NBA computer picks for Thursday, August 13, 2026, ranked by the size of the model's edge.
1. Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks — PHI +5.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -5.5 on NYK, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHI +5.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 223.5 combined points versus a market number of 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 10.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PHI 110 – NYK 114 · full preview →
2. Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat — MIN +3.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -3.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIN +3.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 221.0 points against the posted 236.5. That points to the Under 236.5, with about 15.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIN 111 – MIA 111 · full preview →
3. Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers — GSW +5.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -5.5 on LAL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is GSW +5.5, an edge of about 2.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 227.0 combined points versus a market number of 234.5. That points to the Under 234.5, with about 7.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected GSW 112 – LAL 115 · full preview →
4. Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers — CLE +4.5 Strong
The market opened at -4.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CLE +4.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 223.5 points while the book has hung 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 10.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CLE 111 – PHI 112 · full preview →
5. Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards — WAS +1.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 1.5 on WAS, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is WAS +1.5, an edge of about 3.0 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 226.0 points while the book has hung 235.5. That points to the Under 235.5, with about 9.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CHA 112 – WAS 114 · full preview →