NBAComputerPicksNBA Computer Picks: Best Bets for October 26, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Fresh run for Monday, October 26, 2026 — the computer flagged the games where its number is furthest from the market.
1. Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers — MIN +3.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -3.5 on CLE, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MIN +3.5, an edge of about 0.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 222.0 points against the posted 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 11.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIN 110 – CLE 113 · full preview →
2. Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics — CHI +13.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -13.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CHI +13.5, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 225.5 points against the posted 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 8.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CHI 108 – BOS 118 · full preview →
3. Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat — DAL +8.5 Strong
The market opened at -8.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DAL +8.5, an edge of about 8.0 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 223.0 points against the posted 236.5. That points to the Under 236.5, with about 13.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected DAL 111 – MIA 112 · full preview →
4. Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks — MIL +4.5 Strong
The market opened at 4.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is MIL +4.5, an edge of about 7.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 229.0 combined points versus a market number of 239.5. That points to the Under 239.5, with about 10.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected IND 113 – MIL 116 · full preview →
5. Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder — PHX +9.5 Strong
The market opened at -9.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is PHX +9.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 227.0 points against the posted 219.5. That points to the Over 219.5, with about 7.5 points of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PHX 110 – OKC 118 · full preview →