NBA Computer Picks: Best Bets for October 24, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Best bets for Saturday, October 24, 2026, straight from the model — no gut calls, just the biggest edges.
1. Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets — CHA +3.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 3.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is CHA +3.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 223.0 points while the book has hung 231.5. That points to the Under 231.5, with about 8.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIA 113 – CHA 111 · full preview →
2. Brooklyn Nets at Cleveland Cavaliers — BKN +11.5 Strong
The market opened at -11.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is BKN +11.5, an edge of about 2.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 223.5 combined points versus a market number of 231.5. That points to the Under 231.5, with about 8.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected BKN 107 – CLE 116 · full preview →
3. Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers — MIL +12.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -12.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIL +12.5, an edge of about 10.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 224.5 combined points versus a market number of 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 9.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIL 111 – PHI 113 · full preview →
4. Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls — CHI +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CHI +1.5, an edge of about 7.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 226.5 points while the book has hung 244.5. That points to the Under 244.5, with about 18.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected WAS 110 – CHI 116 · full preview →
5. San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks — DAL +12.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 12.5 on DAL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DAL +12.5, an edge of about 17.0 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 225.5 combined points versus a market number of 231.5. That points to the Under 231.5, with about 6.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected SAS 111 – DAL 115 · full preview →