NBAComputerPicksNBA Computer Picks: Best Bets for August 31, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
Fresh run for Monday, August 31, 2026 — the computer flagged the games where its number is furthest from the market.
1. Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks — PHI +5.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -5.5 on NYK, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHI +5.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 223.5 combined points versus a market number of 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 10.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected PHI 110 – NYK 114 · full preview →
2. Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic — ORL -2.5 Strong
Where the book sits at -2.5 on ORL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is ORL -2.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 225.0 points while the book has hung 233.5. That points to the Under 233.5, with about 8.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected ATL 111 – ORL 115 · full preview →
3. Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards — MIL +6.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -6.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIL +6.5, an edge of about 11.5 points in our favor. Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 226.0 points while the book has hung 238.5. That points to the Under 238.5, with about 12.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIL 116 – WAS 111 · full preview →
4. Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets — BKN +4.5 Strong
Where the book sits at 4.5 on BKN, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is BKN +4.5, an edge of about 8.0 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 224.5 points against the posted 226.5. That points to the Under 226.5, with about 2.0 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected CHA 111 – BKN 114 · full preview →
5. Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat — MIN +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIN +1.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 221.0 points against the posted 242.5. That points to the Under 242.5, with about 21.5 points of under edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIN 111 – MIA 111 · full preview →